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I think in order to be consistent China’s position is mostly going to be that NATO expansion was an existential threat therefore Russia’s war is more defensive than anything. She mentions the foreign policy experts general consensus. This is about the most average take.
China wants peaceful coexistence and that is explicitly a call for no aggression and no existential threats.
Their position is that the US/NATO violated not only the UN charter but also China’s own universal principles of peace, therefore they realy have no justification for this war and Russia is acting mostly as a rational consequence of the known consensus i.e NATO expansion was an existential threat.
People forget that China can’t simply role play as a western leftist and try to cry about both sides all the time. They are going to pick and chose their allies. If there is enough evidence to say one side was being far more unreasonable and aggressive than the other they are going to use that rethoric and in this case China doesn’t realy care about internal politics of foreign countries, they don’t care that Putin is a right winger.
“The west’s condemnation of Russia is not universal” Is very clear imo.
I get all of that, and fundamentally agree with both the broad strokes and the details of that analysis. And I respect China’s principled neutrality. I just want to know what they see as the path to resolving that, and I haven’t seen it yet. Not saying they don’t have one, though.
I see, well other than diplomatic speeches there is not much they can do about it, they are helping Russia survive the sanctions and they’ll probably try to hold Putin back before if he decides to start WW3.
You see there is a theory that he waited for the games to end as a sign of respect/deal already.
If there is any fodder they can use e.g the bio research labs or future US tied mercs/terrorists in Ukraine they’ll keep an eye out to use that as further proof against the US.
And they are going to jump on the opportunity to be involved in the peace negotiations if necessary. Ukraine is staling like idiots though so not much they can do.
