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5 points
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I would be shocked if they invaded Taiwan and TSMC wasn’t reduced to rubble first thing. Having a technological edge is just too valuable to the Western strategy. I also suspect that there would be a significant risk of escalation, because unlike Ukraine the US is already there and already talking about maybe-possibly getting involved if anything starts.

Anyway, thanks for writing an update.

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3 points

Yeah the US has been far far more outspoken about defending Taiwan than Ukraine.

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11 points

The Republic of China has something the US wants. Ukraine is just cannon fodder for DC’s project to destabilize the RF. They don’t give a shit what happens to Ukraine as long as it’s expensive to Russia. They don’t give a shit what happens to the Republic of China, either, and it’s likely that as soon as the US has equivalent chip fabs (if the US is even capable of building something that complex, which is an open question) they’ll either drop or significantly scale down their support for the Republic of China.

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1 point

The US has made commitments to Taiwan and supplied arms. They are also looking to manufacture that tech in the states. I really don’t see the Chinese going down that road, but they keep making threats, and while there is threats there is a chance they will be cornered into carrying them out. They certainly will not want to slide back into the economy of the 90’s.

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