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21 points

I feel like the West’s involvement and munitions depletion in regards to Ukraine will help a lot here. Not to say the West, France especially, won’t fuck with them, but it might give them some breathing room to stabilize. I hope.

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11 points

France specifically send so much weapons to Ukraine they stripped down some of their regular units.

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4 points

What about the Foreign Legion?

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6 points
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No idea, it’s specifically unit trained for the colonial crackdowns. I think Mali and Burkina Faso statements basically means that the small scale intervention is hardly possible, so it will be either open war, and for that France would need USA and ECOWAS, or the clandestine spec ops countercoup/civil war attempt.

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