Because in 2016 they clearly just failed to “account for all the variables” and this time they totally recalibrated their polls be more accurate. Trust me bro this new poll stuff hits different Biden is gonna win trust me just try some

An uncontested Trump victory is still as probable as freezing an enemy pokemon first try with ice beam according to 538. It’ll only be a slightly surprising outcome even if you’re as lib as Nate Silver.