6 states siding against a supreme court decision to deny access to federal authorities seems big, if thats happened in my lifetime I’ve not heard of it before

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49 points
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Wrong about the beginning of events, but correct about their trajectory once they have begun

But often only because we go “No, that won’t happen, that would be stupid and counterproductive for the West” but then they just do the thing anyway and so we just go “…okay, well, they’re gonna lose then”

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26 points
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i mean the specific miscalculation was basically not accounting for the Putin government having any motivations beyond the national interest of Russia.

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12 points

It was a Thatcher bombing situation. The libs crying wolf about Russia only have to get lucky once, we have to get lucky every single time. They like to forget that they were howling about an imminent Russian invasion for months and even US analysts no longer considered it plausible. And then it happened.

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16 points
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Naw my vibe based interpretation says not shit happens

Disclaimer: I was wrong about covid

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4 points

I just assume it’s all gong to happen now. Once years started to happen, all bets were off.

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29 points

Ukraine is like the only thing this site has been wrong about, and that’s only because we forgot the number one rule – the stupidest thing that can happen is the one most likely to happen

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22 points
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oh yeah?

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10 points

Technically that was a different site

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9 points

We always knew he was a succdem and was very likely to get crushed by the machine. There was a small window where we were beating the odds and felt like our original, correct take was too pessimistic. God that was a good couple of weeks

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12 points

I actually anticipated a war in Ukraine (because I had been listening to Alex Mercouris and for months throughout 2021 he was very pessimistic about the various diplomatic negotiations leading up to February 2022), I simply did not expect it to happen this soon. I thought it would be another year or so, but those who had been following closely the US-Russia summit in 2021 knew that the US was dead set on provoking a war in Ukraine.

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Ever since Ukraine, my partner scoffs whenever I say “nothing major is going to happen.” I can’t say they’re wrong

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33 points
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OOF lmao

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8 points

I don’t blame you. That was a lot of us. US dem-party-leaning media screeched about Russiagate for 6 years, wearing everyone’s patience thin on anti-Russian scaremongering and creating a “boy who cried wolf” effect. All the libs I know were very smug that day.

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2 points

i remember the night before i had a drunken discussion with friends at uni and said i thought nothing was going to happen and the next day tanks went in

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15 points

Happens to the best of us, literally. Lenin said revolution wasn’t going to happen in his lifetime.

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7 points
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What an idiot! Hate to be that guy

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27 points

Yeah I’m a Marxist-Contrarianist too

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11 points
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