6 states siding against a supreme court decision to deny access to federal authorities seems big, if thats happened in my lifetime I’ve not heard of it before

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I think anyone who thinks this is going to cause the US to balkanize needs to step outside for at least 3 hours. Screenshot this comment and feel free to @ me in 2-6 months when the current state of affairs has led nowhere.

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25 points

The “nothing ever happens” crowd will be proven wrong soon

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Less “nothing ever happens” and more “it is ridiculous to think Texas will balkanize over what is essentially a slap-fight over immigration when the state receives ~40% of its revenue from the federal government and, among other things, has critical infrastructure fail statewide during cold snaps and is reliant on federal aid anytime a moderately strong storm forms in the gulf of Mexico” - but be sure to tag me in case I miss Abbott’s announcement of Texas’ secession from his militarized wheelchair lmao.

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it’s safer to say “eventually”

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21 points

I think anyone who thinks this is going to cause Russia to invade Ukraine needs to step outside for at least 3 hours. Screenshot this comment and feel free to @ me in 2-6 months when the current state of affairs has led nowhere.

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33 points

bro they were massing like 200k soldiers on the border for several months before that, it’s not comparable

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23 points

I think anyone who thinks this assasination of Franz Ferdinand is going to cause a great war needs to step outside for at least 3 hours. Screenshot this comment and feel free to @ me in 2-6 months when the current state of affairs has led nowhere.

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16 points
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It might be obvious in hindsight, but everyone at the time thought it wasn’t going to happen… until it did.

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I never said anything like that in regard to Ukraine so frankly the comparison is pointless. Theory-crafting balkanization of the US & making cool maps is all well and good but let’s be serious about things.

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