remember when 2C over like 50 years was considered the worst case
I can’t vouch for the man at all and I’m happy to be told he sucks shit but in this talk by a guy called Gwynne Dyer he puts forth that the usual reporting bases heavily off the climate summit which is run as much by governments as it is by scientists and so they always arrive at the lowest common denominator, that is to say, the least worst scenario where everything can be fixed and we only have to start 10 years in the future.
Gwynne dyer is probably not a comrade but he’s cool and good. His book “War” started me on my road to anti-war politics and, ultimately, communism. If you can get it (pirate or otherwise) it’s an easy recommendation. You can also watch the documentary series with the same name on YouTube. Ep. 2 can be a revelation if you grew up in a culture that glorifies war and military exploits.
Last I checked climate projections have actually been reasonably predictive of temperature rise over the last few years, so it depends on what 2C meant. If it meant 2C since the 80s then, well, that’s already worse than what is predicted here.
I never looked much into the details, but all I heard over and over was we need to keep under 2c rise from pre industrial levels and will go over in like 50 years if we don’t start to change now
I mean I’m not entirely sure why the 50 years part matters, it seems to me that 2 degrees is 2 degrees and it matters regardless of if it is 50 years or more. I’m guessing 2C is just some somewhat arbitrary threshold to have as a target.
I remember telling an ex-friend of mine not too long before corona hit that we had about a decade of normalcy until climate change really hit. Obviously I was wildly wrong on that one.
No, you probably do. Climate change has a bit of a time delay, and will hit sporadically. You’ll get a few more floods etc over the next 10 years but there’s not gonna be agricultural collapse yet.
There is no wide scale worldwide crop die off happening that is outside of what is typical. We’re very far from agricultural collapse. If you look at crop yield charts per year, the increase still outpaces population increase and there isn’t really a significant slowing trend in recent years. Climate change isn’t a sudden end of the world scenario, it’s an “everything gets progressively shittier sporadically with the weakest being seriously damaged first” scenario.
time to pull ourselves together and propose an innovative tax credit
Start talking to your neighbors. You’re gonna need them
