Anecdotal and I’d love to be wrong about this, buuuut I’m in the rural midwest rn and all of the wheat fields in like a 75 mile radius from me look like they’re absolutely fucked.

It’s basically all turned gold already which is super early for it, especially because it’s still short as fuck, like maybe a foot tall — it’s usually still green until it’s like 4 feet tall. The people who’ve lived here for a long time have been talking about how abnormal it is. I’m not a wheat scientist and haven’t really gotten into with anyone who knows what they’re actually talking about so I don’t totally know what it means, but I know it doesn’t mean anything good

Prob a good idea to stock up on food if you’ve got the means

:doomer:

17 points
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American wheat only gets 4ft tall? Maybe I’m wrong but in Australia it only grows like 2ft.

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39 points

it’s because it’s growing upside down

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19 points

Yeah average height is like 4ft for summer wheat. I think winter wheat is shorter

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7 points

Right thanks

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I think winter wheat is shorter

allen’s rule

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4 points

Huh I thought that was only applied to warm-blooded mammals

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39 points
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I don’t live in midwest but same thing here. People who normally grow corn did wheat and it’s brown already. Only about a foot tall.

https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn21399-wheat-will-age-prematurely-in-a-warmer-world/

He found that the wheat turned brown earlier when average temperatures were higher, with spells over 34 ºC having a particularly strong effect. He then inferred yield loss, using previous field studies as a guide.

This revealed a much stronger effect of temperatures on yield than previous studies. Lobell’s data predicted that yield losses in the Ganges plain will be around 50 per cent greater from an average warming of 2 ºC than existing models

2012

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I mean, who really needs cereal crops though? They’re only the basis of all human civilization. Should be fine.

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18 points

:this-is-fine:

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26 points
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Deleted by creator
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14 points
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I wish I were a lot less paranoid honestly, but I’m right just often enough, if only by accident, to keep me paranoid XD. Also 'paranoid" isn’t exactly the right word but I don’t know of one for overcaution that really works without the implication of literal conspiracism or delusions of grandeur “they’re targeting me, specifically, I know too much!”

Lmao right there with you, I call it historical materialism and/or the immortal science of Marxism-Leninism and/or Cassandra syndrome depending on how I’m feeling that day

Thanks for sharing your read on the situation and the implications of the shitty harvests — that answered a lot of questions I keep forgetting to ask around here and a couple that I didn’t know that I had. And weirdly makes me feel a bit better, that it’ll be bad but hopefully not catastrophic.

Glad you decided to join us in the posting mines comrade, hope to catch you around more! :rosa-salute:

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but I’m right just often enough, if only by accident, to keep me paranoid XD

It’s easy to be right all the time. Just only take positions on the safest/surest claims. I was right about Trump running, Trump winning, long COVID existing, COVID’s euro-strain being harsher than the Chinese one, and the vaccines doing fuck-all for long COVID.

Actually I made a prediction back in 2018, from listening to the conspiracy nuts and then doing a bunch of research on the yield curve and its inversions, and what that means for bonds vs stocks. My prediction was that there was gonna be a recession around 2019-2020, and there was (I couldn’t predict COVID though)

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4 points

mass cattle die-offs

This is the first I’m hearing about it. The fuck?

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8 points
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Deleted by creator
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That paper is fascinating. 1,000,000 cows died in 2010 from “respiratory problems”. Looking at the table on page 10 “Percent of Total Calf Non-Predator Losses by Type – States and United States: 2010” and just looking at the column for respiratory problems is wild. In Nebraska and Colorado 40% of basically all cow deaths are due to respiratory problems. In Kansas it’s 63%. There’s clearly a trend there, though I’m too lazy and disinterested to figure out what that trend is, and to then analyze why that trend exists. Still interesting, though.

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25 points
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11 points

The fertilizer shortage started in December, so we’re already in it.

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27 points
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21 points

Damn I’m starting to imagine the sorts of takes we’ll see pushed to manufacture consent for invading Canada lol

I guess it depends on who’s in office. Republicans, it’ll be the playbook for countries that are starting to teeter towards socialism, all “some calling election results illegitimate” and funneling arms to reactionary paramilitary groups. Dems, try to smear them over “human rights” esp treatment of the First Nations people there, blatantly refusing to acknowledge the genocide of indigenous people they’ve been committing for centuries

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12 points

It would be hilarious to watch, as our farmlands turn into deserts too

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8 points
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Deleted by creator
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4 points

Why invade Canada, when you can just enact a Supernafta?

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5 points

Republicans, it’ll be the playbook for countries that are starting to teeter towards socialism

haha. Canada isn’t going to start teetering towards socialism, or even social democracy :sadness:

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