im bored

it can be realistic or insane, doesn’t matter

  • UK will implode as they are looted by America and Labour are basically more moderate Tories who will continue their disastrous policies

  • EU will barely survive; but will enter into their version of the lost decade as America loots them as well; fascists are elected all over Europe but fail to actually reverse the decline because most of them are pro-NATO/neoliberalism anyway

  • America will increasingly sustain itself by looting the rest of the imperial core but will still have a major rise of fascism. Trump will most likely be reelected and make things worse

  • India has a 50/50 change of doing well assuming they go economic nationalist and avoid joining the west in their anti-China Cold War

  • Japan and South Korea will continue to decline as they have been for decades

  • China will probably do well, but they have to manage COVID to avoid millions of deaths

  • Russia survives sanctions; but it all depends on how left wing Putin’s successor will be; as far as the war, I’m a pessimist so I think Russia will only be able reclaim the Donbass and Ukraine will eventually be forced into a treaty after they and their NATO backers realize that there are no more 12 year olds in the country because they have all been mowed down on the front lines and the 8 year olds don’t make effective cannon fodder

  • South America and Africa will drift from America and Europe but will still experience many coups/interventions; Argentina is currently having a right wing coup

permalink
report
reply

India will not join the west in a new cold war. Since it seems to be continuing it’s non aligned policy

And I think being between Russia and the US is good for India to prevent hostilities with China. Like if they were completely on the side of the US it would increase tensions

permalink
report
parent
reply
4 points
*
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply

Many affluent families in India will have relatives who live abroad, probably in English speaking countries. Soon I’ll have no siblings or first cousins living in India. And that probably does have some effect in things but like it’s not going to get India to spend 10 times more buying military hardware from the US instead of Russia

An overwhelming number of Indians living abroad work in tech. But in India they are just a slice of the urban population, and the urban population is just 35% of the country.

permalink
report
parent
reply
19 points

Maine lobster go extinct in the wild, resulting in successful revolution in New England. the Peoples Republic of Massachusetts Bay goes full Climate Stalin

permalink
report
reply
30 points

China will become the biggest producer of milk in the world, and much of this will be produced by yeast. The American dairy industry will ban this technology, and vat-grown milk from China. China will retaliate by blocking American milk exports. This will spiral into a trade war. However, despite grumbles from European fromagiers, the EU will ultimately allow the technology and imports from China cause they don’t have any fertilizer for their own cow feed or electricity for their bioreactors. Thus begins the EU’s too-late drift from American hegemony.

permalink
report
reply
11 points

China was the milk boy all along

permalink
report
parent
reply
13 points

you can make milk with yeast???

that’s magical as fuck, big ups to the guy who invented yeast

permalink
report
parent
reply
4 points

Yeah. You can genetically engineer yeast and bacteria to produce very useful things such as insulin, rennet, whey, and casein.

permalink
report
parent
reply
17 points
*
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply
13 points

I think that one of the big possible shift would be Saudi Arabia making a clean break with the US in favor of non-alignment/cozying up with BRICS, while Iran undergoes a political thaw and withdraws from its commitments in Syria/Yemen/Lebanon/etc… due to a lack of domestic support for the Axis of Resistance.

In other words, perhaps we could see a winding down of the US/Saudi v. Iran struggle for regional leadership in the Middle East.

permalink
report
reply
2 points

I know a couple of iranians (who have lived in the west for at least 20 years now) who all say that the average iranian hates the leadership for their support of shia minorities in the neighbouring countries, since the iranians themselves are desperately poor, and they (maybe rightfully) view all this support for other countries / militias as a theft from their own population, who are suffering heavily under the sanctions. I think their argument is that the leadership spends a lot of money to ensure that they don’t get invaded by their neighbours, but meanwhile the people are suffering heavily, and when you are that poor, you really need to spend your money wisely to develop.

I don’t really know what to think of this, since I don’t speak Farsi and can’t really interact wiht iranians other than the ones who moved to the west, and more or less entirely assimilated into western liberalism.

permalink
report
parent
reply
2 points

With the sectarian violence that in the Syrian civil war, Yemen and elsewhere, I am personally swayed by the argument that Iranian aid is necessary to prevent a genocide of Shia and other minority sects in the region. I dunno how accurate that picture is though.

permalink
report
parent
reply
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
reply
6 points
*
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply
Deleted by creator
permalink
report
parent
reply

We’re bringing back Yugoslavia

permalink
report
parent
reply

askchapo

!askchapo@hexbear.net

Create post

Ask Hexbear is the place to ask and answer thought-provoking questions.

Rules:

  1. Posts must ask a question.

  2. If the question asked is serious, answer seriously.

  3. Questions where you want to learn more about socialism are allowed, but questions in bad faith are not.

  4. Try !feedback@hexbear.net if you’re having questions about regarding moderation, site policy, the site itself, development, volunteering or the mod team.

Community stats

  • 125

    Monthly active users

  • 7.3K

    Posts

  • 164K

    Comments