I would imagine that would be a rather one-sided affair. Poland by all accounts has a “big boy” armed forces if on the smaller end.

I understand why they did it I just think they severely miscalculated how stiff the resistance would be,how relatively ineffective there armed forces would be and how strongly the west would react.

I mean Russia has already failed in that the invasion is a massive boondoggle that will cost them way more then they wanted to pay to get way less then they thought they were getting. Them straight up not being able to complete the conquest is the odd on favorite outcome on betting sites as of now. This could not realistically have gone much worse for them.

An Amphibious invasion of Taiwan would be the largest naval operation in the history of mankind. Taiwan would have years to prepare, and the Chinese would have to sink the entire western naval force that would be sent to stop it on top of executing one of the most complex military movements you can attempt.

I’m pretty sure the two situations couldn’t really be more different. Amphibious landings are a whole can of worms.

You think the US Balkanizes by 2050? I doubt that highly. There are not even clear fault lines for Balkanization even the most conservative states have like 40% of people that vote the other way and vice versa.

There gonna do what they should have done to begin with. They are gonna wait 30 years for Russia to completely implode because it’s a tinpot petrostate with shrinking demographics then redeclare independence

I think the biggest factor against this happening is Russia and/or Ukraine not actually being interested in negotiation.