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m_f

m_f@midwest.social
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Hopefully they’ll make digital copies at some point, though I doubt I’ll remember to check back. We need a RemindMe bot/feature on Lemmy

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I think we’re going to see some big realignments happening, as in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy. Hard to say for sure until we’re years out looking back, but it doesn’t seem like that’s a temporary shift.

I find it darkly humorous that neolibs shot themselves in the foot so hard by trying to make an easy election for themselves in 2016. The sort of twist you’d expect from Game of Thrones or something.

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If you’re saying that a vote for a 3rd party is a vote for Trump, guess what? Voting for whatever the DNC offers up still got us Trump, twice. I’d rather vote my conscience if it doesn’t matter anyways.

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I shut my mouth during the election and hoped for Harris to win. Fuck it though, the DNC has utterly failed us. From now on, I’m voting for someone that can offer real change. If the DNC tries to ratfuck another candidate like Sanders I’ll write their name in and not give a fuck because the DNC gave us Trump, twice.

Now is the time to organize and drag the DNC off the corporate dick they’re sucking.

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Anybody do any trick or treating? It was pretty cold and wet

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That’s great to hear. Even with the current complaints about Amtrak (speed, etc), more routes would be a huge boon.

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Awesome! Anything interesting about it that you can talk about? I understand if there’s NDAs or you don’t want to put too much personal info on the internet.

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I think we’re going to see betting markets drop in prominence after this election. They’re a great example of Goodhart’s Law:

When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure

Betting markets are great when everyone is trying to maximize profit. But once they become political, true believers will try to influence the outcome by affecting the betting market itself, even if they lose money on it. For example from the article:

A recent article in the Wall Street Journal about a crypto-based prediction market Polymarket that made it look like Trump had a 62% chance of winning. CNBC reported that a single trader from France was moving the market by betting more than $28 million that Trump would win.

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The answer will shock approximately nobody on Lemmy, but it’s a good, careful look at what history can show us, from a pedantic historian.

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Of note is that there’s going to be a special election for Ramsey County Commissioner, District 3:

District 3 is having a special election because Trista Martinson (formerly Trista MatasCastillo) resigned to take a different county position.

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