democrats absorbing the neocon wing of the republican party
No way. Liz Cheney (who IMO embodies this anti-trump neo-con alternative within the Republican Party) hates Trump; But they hate the Democrats more. A more likely alternative is the Republicans being held together by a barely functional alliance of hating both the Democrats and the Patriot Party.
Hell they might rebrand as some sort of ‘Moderate’ Party and steal some Blue Dogs.
Isn’t this just the Lib Dems being squeezed out by the Labour and Conservative parties in the UK? In this analogy, Labour is Democrats, Lib Dem is old GOP, Conservative is Patriot Party.
Polarization baybee. I don’t think I like that comparison though, Labour at least can be cool sometimes. I also don’t know if it would play out the same. We know 33ish% of Republicans will instantly go to Trump, which for electoral prospects is probably fatal for the new and old party. The Libertarians were more than the difference between Trump and Biden in a bunch of states, another fracturing in the republican party would probably do even more damage.
That still leaves 66% of Republicans who don’t instantly switch allegiances. If they get bolstered by the conservative Dems leaving to join the new “Centrist” party then they would probably do better because America. It’s a new political Cool Zone, they sky is the limit but so is Hell.
Australia changed from FPTP because a new conservative party split the conservative party vote.
Just to clarify the Republicans didn’t kill the Whigs. The Whig party imploded from internal conflict and the Republicans rose from the ashes. The Whigs and Republicans never really ran against each other. That being said the game theory modeling does point to a degeneration to a two party system over the long term in a FPTP system.
