America basically has Russia surrounded and is at the “Stop hitting yourself! Stop hitting yourself!” stage of geopolitics.
I actually just found this article PDF published in Foreign Affairs of all places back in 2014 that largely agrees with this.
There’s one from last week that argues Putin is going for stopping NATO expansion: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/russia-fsu/2021-12-28/what-putin-really-wants-ukraine
Maybe Russia should just apply to join NATO. Wouldn’t that fix everything?
Its got some 11D chess energy to it. Like, what does NATO even do if two member states go to war?