This sucks. Not that it won’t accidentally predict the future but this is literally a justification for enforcing inequality and gate keeping power.
I read a journal article somewhere IIRC about the tragedy of commons not actually occuring in practice as social norms for use develop.
Certainly many people have access to certain uses of land far beyond what you get post-enclosure Britain and things have generally been fine.
One of Turchin’s most unwelcome conclusions is that complex societies arise through war. The effect of war is to reward communities that organize themselves to fight and survive, and it tends to wipe out ones that are simple and small-scale. “No one wants to accept that we live in the societies we do”—rich, complex ones with universities and museums and philosophy and art—“because of an ugly thing like war,” he said. But the data are clear: Darwinian processes select for complex societies because they kill off simpler ones.
oh fuck off
The image at the top of the article has incredible meme potential
